Scott Brown Up By 6 Over Warren
SPRINGFIELD, Ma., Aug. 24, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- According to a Kimball Political Consulting survey of registered voters in Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown has a 6 point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren (49 percent to 43 percent) with 9 percent undecided. The figure is just within the survey's 4 percent margin of error.
President Obama continues to hold a double digit lead over former Massachusetts Mitt Romney (52 percent to 41 percent) with 7 percent undecided. Poll results are based on a sample of respondents most likely to vote in November.
"Senator Brown is winning decisively among independents but Warren still has a chance to come back. The data suggest that for Warren to close the gap it may be time for her to change her emphasis, from the cost of education to job creation," said Spencer Kimball, Political Consultant and President of Kimball Political Consulting. "Romney, on the other hand, needs to repair his image in the Commonwealth where 54 percent of likely voters have an unfavorable opinion of him. However, his choice of Paul Ryan may help him with defining the deficit as the most important issue for voters and help his support among a strong Irish Catholic voting bloc in the bay state."
Independent voters are splitting their voting choices between President Obama and Senator Brown; 56% of Independents favor the Senator and 44% intend to vote for the President. Warren also needs to shore up her base of Democrat support with 21% of Democrats saying they would vote for Brown.
The most important issue facing likely voters in Massachusetts is jobs at 40 percent followed by the deficit at 21 percent.
The statewide survey of 592 Massachusetts likely voters was conducted August 21, 2012, using automated telephone interviews of landline and cell phone users. The margin of error is +/- 4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Frequencies and full cross-tabulation data are available on the following links below.
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