IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Daily Tracking Poll
Day 2: Oct. 10, 2012
Romney: +5.0
- Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
- Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
- Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
- Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
- The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.
Obama
|
Romney
|
Not Sure
| |
| OVERALL |
43.7%
|
48.7%
|
6.1%
|
| REGION | |||
| Northeast |
49%
|
42%
|
9%
|
| Midwest |
47%
|
47%
|
4%
|
| South |
40%
|
54%
|
5%
|
| West |
43%
|
46%
|
9%
|
| AGE | |||
| 18-44 |
50%
|
44%
|
6%
|
| 45-64 |
40%
|
51%
|
7%
|
| 65+ |
37%
|
54%
|
5%
|
| GENDER | |||
| Male |
36%
|
57%
|
6%
|
| Female |
50%
|
42%
|
6%
|
| RACE | |||
| White |
34%
|
58%
|
7%
|
| Black/Hispanic |
82%
|
13%
|
3%
|
| HOUSEHOLD INCOME | |||
| Under 30K |
50%
|
44%
|
5%
|
| 30K-50K |
46%
|
49%
|
4%
|
| 50-75K |
41%
|
48%
|
11%
|
| 75K+ |
44%
|
51%
|
5%
|
| PARTY | |||
| Democrats |
86%
|
7%
|
5%
|
| Republicans |
3%
|
95%
|
1%
|
| Ind./Other |
34%
|
54%
|
12%
|
| INVESTOR CLASS | |||
| Yes |
44%
|
50%
|
6%
|
| No |
44%
|
47%
|
7%
|
| AREA TYPE | |||
| Urban |
48%
|
43%
|
7%
|
| Suburban |
47%
|
46%
|
6%
|
| Rural |
34%
|
58%
|
6%
|
| WHITE | |||
| White men |
28%
|
64%
|
6%
|
| White women |
39%
|
52%
|
7%
|
| BLACK/HISPANIC | |||
| Black* |
91%
|
6%
|
3%
|
| Hispanic* |
64%
|
30%
|
4%
|
| WOMEN | |||
| Single women |
58%
|
37%
|
5%
|
| Married women |
43%
|
47%
|
8%
|
| EDUCATION | |||
| High School |
41%
|
47%
|
9%
|
| Some College |
42%
|
52%
|
5%
|
| College Degree+ |
46%
|
48%
|
5%
|
| IDEOLOGY | |||
| Conservative |
18%
|
76%
|
5%
|
| Moderate |
54%
|
37%
|
8%
|
| Liberal |
89%
|
4%
|
5%
|
| HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION | |||
| Upper/Upper Middle |
52%
|
41%
|
7%
|
| Middle |
41%
|
51%
|
5%
|
| Working |
40%
|
50%
|
8%
|
| Lower* |
50%
|
45%
|
6%
|
| RELIGION | |||
| Protestant |
35%
|
60%
|
5%
|
| Catholic |
43%
|
46%
|
6%
|
| Other Christian |
40%
|
56%
|
3%
|
| Jewish* |
47%
|
25%
|
28%
|
| Other* |
51%
|
36%
|
11%
|
| None |
67%
|
27%
|
5%
|
| UNION HOUSEHOLD | |||
| Yes |
59%
|
33%
|
6%
|
| No |
41%
|
51%
|
6%
|
| 2008 VOTE | |||
| Obama |
83%
|
9%
|
8%
|
| McCain |
2%
|
94%
|
4%
|
Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Via: IBD
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