Sunday, May 31, 2015

Hillary's High Water Mark

Can polling data this early tell us anything about Hillary’s prospects in November 2016?  Hillary is an old political figure who has been in the public eye for the last 23 years.  Americans can learn very little new about Hillary, and the bland, familiar political rhetoric about new ideas and change and progress are so dull and predictable that few voters could possibly be influenced that that sort of glop.

Americans have formed an opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton, and it is hard to see how anything can change that opinion in the next 18 months.  While polls taken months or years ago are unserious in the sense that only the truly politically wired think about elections that far away, recent polls show that  most Americans do not intend to vote for Hillary in 2016.

The relative jockeying of the potential Republican nominees tends to hide this fact.  So when polls show that Hillary runs ahead of most Republicans today, that appears to reflect a marginal shift in poll results among the particular Republican candidates, most of whom are not really familiar to Americans today.  Ignore the poll results for these Republicans and look only at the support for Hillary in these trial heats, and something interesting emerges: Hillary’s polling percentages are never a majority of respondents.

Via: American Thinker


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