Wednesday, October 10, 2012

IBD/TIPP Poll: Romney Jumps To 5-Point Lead Over Obama, 48% – 43%…


IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Day 2: Oct. 10, 2012
Romney: +5.0
  • Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
  • Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
  • Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
  • Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
  • The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.
Obama
Romney
Not Sure
OVERALL
43.7%
48.7%
6.1%
REGION
Northeast
49%
42%
9%
Midwest
47%
47%
4%
South
40%
54%
5%
West
43%
46%
9%
AGE
18-44
50%
44%
6%
45-64
40%
51%
7%
65+
37%
54%
5%
GENDER
Male
36%
57%
6%
Female
50%
42%
6%
RACE
White
34%
58%
7%
Black/Hispanic
82%
13%
3%
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Under 30K
50%
44%
5%
30K-50K
46%
49%
4%
50-75K
41%
48%
11%
75K+
44%
51%
5%
PARTY
Democrats
86%
7%
5%
Republicans
3%
95%
1%
Ind./Other
34%
54%
12%
INVESTOR CLASS
Yes
44%
50%
6%
No
44%
47%
7%
AREA TYPE
Urban
48%
43%
7%
Suburban
47%
46%
6%
Rural
34%
58%
6%
WHITE
White men
28%
64%
6%
White women
39%
52%
7%
BLACK/HISPANIC
Black*
91%
6%
3%
Hispanic*
64%
30%
4%
WOMEN
Single women
58%
37%
5%
Married women
43%
47%
8%
EDUCATION
High School
41%
47%
9%
Some College
42%
52%
5%
College Degree+
46%
48%
5%
IDEOLOGY
Conservative
18%
76%
5%
Moderate
54%
37%
8%
Liberal
89%
4%
5%
HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION
Upper/Upper Middle
52%
41%
7%
Middle
41%
51%
5%
Working
40%
50%
8%
Lower*
50%
45%
6%
RELIGION
Protestant
35%
60%
5%
Catholic
43%
46%
6%
Other Christian
40%
56%
3%
Jewish*
47%
25%
28%
Other*
51%
36%
11%
None
67%
27%
5%
UNION HOUSEHOLD
Yes
59%
33%
6%
No
41%
51%
6%
2008 VOTE
Obama
83%
9%
8%
McCain
2%
94%
4%
Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples

Via: IBD


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