Sunday, May 24, 2015

[Economy/Commentary] What Will Drive Illinois to Ask Washington for a Bailout by Steven Moore

 Earlier this month the Illinois Supreme Court overturned a state law that would help fix the state’s notorious pension crisis. What a tragedy for the state’s taxpayers. The justices basically ruled that the pension arrangements are iron-clad, although these pensions are on a course to bankrupt the state and imperil public services that Illinois families depend on. The unions come first. This could have negative consequences for more than half the states that are trying to defuse government employee pension time bombs.
By way of background: Illinois has one of the deepest public employee pension holes in the nation. The long-term deficit is estimated at above $110 billion and the red ink rises every year. Even in California—where several cities have declared bankruptcy—the pension sink hole isn’t as deep on a per capita basis.
The watchdog group Open the Books reports that there are more than 5,000 teacher and other education officials who receive an annual pension of more than $100,000 a year. Worse yet, half of all government employees retire with benefits before age 60. That’s more than twice what a typical private worker gets for having worked 12 months, not nine months, a year.
The Illinois court invalidated a 2013 pension fix that was enacted by a Democratic legislature and a Democratic governor, Pat Quinn. That law cut off the front door to the pension swindle—switching new workers into defined contribution programs like 401k plans. The law also adjusted the automatic cost of living adjustments (now at 3 percent annually regardless of inflation). The reform also adjusted the retirement age for new employees after January 2011, highly important because at least half of the employees covered are retiring before age 60—including 70 percent of teachers. Even the features of the law dealing with new employees entering the bankrupt system were unbelievably tossed out by the court meaning that the costs must keep rising inexorably into virtual perpetuity.
The victims of these daunting pension costs are citizens who rely on state services. Pension checks are crowding out funding for everything else and last year rose 12 percent as most state spending is being cut or frozen.
More than 5,000 teacher and other education officials receive an annual pension of more than $100,000 a year. Worse yet, half of all government employees retire with benefits before age 60.
Thanks to this ruling, there is no way out of the pension calamity absent a repeal of the pension clause in the Illinois Constitution.
The state can’t borrow—it already has the worst credit rating in the nation. It has to borrow less—not more. Last week’s court decision sent interest rates on Land of Lincoln debt to even higher levels—near junk bond status. Days later, Chicago bonds were marked down to junk status.
The state is already making deep cuts in other spending programs. To accommodate lavish government retiree pensions, the court has rules that everything else—from funding for schools, roads, bridges, prisons, and police services—gets whacked. Current Governor Bruce Rauner is taking on the unenviable job of cutting at least $6 billion from state spending in order to balance the budget. The Court just made his job doubly excruciating.

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