IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election
Daily Tracking Poll
Daily Tracking Poll
Day 2: Oct. 10, 2012
Romney: +5.0
- Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
- Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
- Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
- Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
- The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.
Obama
|
Romney
|
Not Sure
| |
OVERALL |
43.7%
|
48.7%
|
6.1%
|
REGION | |||
Northeast |
49%
|
42%
|
9%
|
Midwest |
47%
|
47%
|
4%
|
South |
40%
|
54%
|
5%
|
West |
43%
|
46%
|
9%
|
AGE | |||
18-44 |
50%
|
44%
|
6%
|
45-64 |
40%
|
51%
|
7%
|
65+ |
37%
|
54%
|
5%
|
GENDER | |||
Male |
36%
|
57%
|
6%
|
Female |
50%
|
42%
|
6%
|
RACE | |||
White |
34%
|
58%
|
7%
|
Black/Hispanic |
82%
|
13%
|
3%
|
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | |||
Under 30K |
50%
|
44%
|
5%
|
30K-50K |
46%
|
49%
|
4%
|
50-75K |
41%
|
48%
|
11%
|
75K+ |
44%
|
51%
|
5%
|
PARTY | |||
Democrats |
86%
|
7%
|
5%
|
Republicans |
3%
|
95%
|
1%
|
Ind./Other |
34%
|
54%
|
12%
|
INVESTOR CLASS | |||
Yes |
44%
|
50%
|
6%
|
No |
44%
|
47%
|
7%
|
AREA TYPE | |||
Urban |
48%
|
43%
|
7%
|
Suburban |
47%
|
46%
|
6%
|
Rural |
34%
|
58%
|
6%
|
WHITE | |||
White men |
28%
|
64%
|
6%
|
White women |
39%
|
52%
|
7%
|
BLACK/HISPANIC | |||
Black* |
91%
|
6%
|
3%
|
Hispanic* |
64%
|
30%
|
4%
|
WOMEN | |||
Single women |
58%
|
37%
|
5%
|
Married women |
43%
|
47%
|
8%
|
EDUCATION | |||
High School |
41%
|
47%
|
9%
|
Some College |
42%
|
52%
|
5%
|
College Degree+ |
46%
|
48%
|
5%
|
IDEOLOGY | |||
Conservative |
18%
|
76%
|
5%
|
Moderate |
54%
|
37%
|
8%
|
Liberal |
89%
|
4%
|
5%
|
HOUSEHOLD DESCRIPTION | |||
Upper/Upper Middle |
52%
|
41%
|
7%
|
Middle |
41%
|
51%
|
5%
|
Working |
40%
|
50%
|
8%
|
Lower* |
50%
|
45%
|
6%
|
RELIGION | |||
Protestant |
35%
|
60%
|
5%
|
Catholic |
43%
|
46%
|
6%
|
Other Christian |
40%
|
56%
|
3%
|
Jewish* |
47%
|
25%
|
28%
|
Other* |
51%
|
36%
|
11%
|
None |
67%
|
27%
|
5%
|
UNION HOUSEHOLD | |||
Yes |
59%
|
33%
|
6%
|
No |
41%
|
51%
|
6%
|
2008 VOTE | |||
Obama |
83%
|
9%
|
8%
|
McCain |
2%
|
94%
|
4%
|
Polling period: 10/4 - 10/9
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples
Via: IBD
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